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British Politics
Next Lib Dem Leader
Daisy Cooper
1.53
Josh Babarinde
7.00
Layla Moran
9.00
Calum Miller
17.00
Helen Maguire
17.00
Munira Wilson
17.00
James MacCleary
21.00
Monica Harding
21.00
Lisa Smart
26.00
Daisy Cooper
1.53
Josh Babarinde
7.00
Layla Moran
9.00
Calum Miller
17.00
Helen Maguire
17.00
Munira Wilson
17.00
James MacCleary
21.00
Monica Harding
21.00
Lisa Smart
26.00
Sarah Olney
26.00
Christine Jardine
34.00
Wendy Chamberlain
34.00
Alistair Carmichael
51.00
Wera Hobhouse
51.00
Tim Farron
67.00
Jamie Stone
101.00
Nick Clegg
201.00
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Next Reform UK Leader
Richard Tice
2.25
Rupert Lowe
6.00
Lee Anderson
9.00
Ben Habib
11.00
Robert Jenrick
11.00
Boris Johnson
13.00
Suella Braverman
13.00
Andrea Jenkyns
17.00
James McMurdock
17.00
Richard Tice
2.25
Rupert Lowe
6.00
Lee Anderson
9.00
Ben Habib
11.00
Robert Jenrick
11.00
Boris Johnson
13.00
Suella Braverman
13.00
Andrea Jenkyns
17.00
James McMurdock
17.00
Liz Truss
17.00
Priti Patel
17.00
Ant Middleton
26.00
Jacob Rees-Mogg
26.00
Matt Goodwin
34.00
David Frost
51.00
Widdecombe
101.00
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Next Permanent Labour Party Leader (Temporary or Caretaker Leaders Do Not Count)
Wes Streeting
6.00
Andy Burnham
7.00
Bridget Phillipson
13.00
Shabana Mahmood
13.00
Angela Rayner
15.00
Yvette Cooper
17.00
Darren Jones
17.00
Lucy Powell
26.00
Rachel Reeves
34.00
Wes Streeting
6.00
Andy Burnham
7.00
Bridget Phillipson
13.00
Shabana Mahmood
13.00
Angela Rayner
15.00
Yvette Cooper
17.00
Darren Jones
17.00
Lucy Powell
26.00
Rachel Reeves
34.00
David Lammy
34.00
Louise Haigh
34.00
Torsten Bell
41.00
Lisa Nandy
51.00
Peter Kyle
51.00
Georgia Gould
51.00
Josh Simons
51.00
Nick Thomas-Symonds
51.00
Stephen Kinnock
51.00
Anneliese Dodds
51.00
Dan Jarvis
51.00
Dawn Butler
51.00
Emma Reynolds
51.00
Jess Phillips
51.00
John McDonnell
51.00
Jonathan Ashworth
51.00
Jonathan Reynolds
51.00
Miatta Fahnbulleh
51.00
Rebecca Long-Bailey
51.00
Rosena Allin-Khan
51.00
Zarah Sultana
51.00
Sadiq Khan
67.00
Ed Miliband
67.00
Hamish Falconer
67.00
Jim McMahon
67.00
Luke Pollard
67.00
Sarah Jones
67.00
Sarah Sackman
67.00
Seema Malhotra
67.00
Tracy Brabin
67.00
Abena Oppong-Asare
67.00
Alison McGovern
67.00
Chi Onwurah
67.00
David Miliband
67.00
Ellie Reeves
67.00
Heidi Alexander
67.00
Matthew Pennycook
67.00
Nadia Whittome
67.00
Richard Burgon
67.00
Steve Reed
67.00
Chris Bryant
101.00
Angela Eagle
101.00
Barry Gardiner
101.00
Bell Ribeiro-Addy
101.00
Cat Smith
101.00
Clive Lewis
101.00
Dan Carden
101.00
Emily Thornberry
101.00
Helen Hayes
101.00
Hilary Benn
101.00
Ian Lavery
101.00
Janet Daby
101.00
Jeremy Corbyn
101.00
Jon Trickett
101.00
Kate Osamor
101.00
Liz Kendall
101.00
Mary Creagh
101.00
Nia Griffith
101.00
Preet Gill
101.00
Rosie Duffield
101.00
Stella Creasy
101.00
Tony Blair
101.00
Vicky Foxcroft
101.00
Bella Sankey
201.00
Gary Neville
201.00
John Bercow
201.00
Laura Pidcock
201.00
Lloyd Russell-Moyle
201.00
Philip Proudfoot
501.00
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Next Permanent Conservative Party Leader (Temporary or Caretaker Leaders do not count)
Robert Jenrick
2.40
James Cleverly
6.00
Boris Johnson
11.00
Nigel Farage
15.00
Rupert Lowe
21.00
Katie Lam
21.00
Chris Philp
26.00
Claire Coutinho
26.00
Alex Burghart
34.00
Robert Jenrick
2.40
James Cleverly
6.00
Boris Johnson
11.00
Nigel Farage
15.00
Rupert Lowe
21.00
Katie Lam
21.00
Chris Philp
26.00
Claire Coutinho
26.00
Alex Burghart
34.00
Jeremy Hunt
34.00
Laura Trott
34.00
Priti Patel
34.00
Danny Kruger
34.00
Rishi Sunak
34.00
Suella Braverman
34.00
Tom Tugendhat
34.00
Victoria Atkins
34.00
Nick Timothy
34.00
Mel Stride
41.00
Andy Street
51.00
Ben Spencer
51.00
David Frost
51.00
Gavin Williamson
51.00
Mark Harper
51.00
Oliver Dowden
51.00
Ben Houchen
67.00
David Davis
67.00
Richard Holden
67.00
David Cameron
101.00
Esther McVey
101.00
Iain Duncan Smith
101.00
John Glen
101.00
Lee Anderson
101.00
Mark Francois
101.00
Kit Malthouse
101.00
Liz Truss
201.00
Chip Chapman
501.00
George Galloway
501.00
Tim Farron
501.00
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Which party will win the most seats?
Reform UK
1.90
Plaid Cymru
2.50
Labour
6.00
Conservatives
34.00
Liberal Democrats
201.00
Greens
501.00
Reform UK
1.90
Plaid Cymru
2.50
Labour
6.00
Conservatives
34.00
Liberal Democrats
201.00
Greens
501.00
Which party will win the most seats?
SNP
1.14
Labour
5.50
Reform UK
13.00
Conservatives
101.00
Greens
201.00
Liberal Democrats
201.00
SNP
1.14
Labour
5.50
Reform UK
13.00
Conservatives
101.00
Greens
201.00
Liberal Democrats
201.00
Which party will finish in second place for seats?
Labour
1.33
Reform UK
3.75
SNP
9.00
Conservatives
41.00
Greens
67.00
Liberal Democrats
101.00
Labour
1.33
Reform UK
3.75
SNP
9.00
Conservatives
41.00
Greens
67.00
Liberal Democrats
101.00
Next London Mayor
Sadiq Khan
2.50
Laila Cunningham
9.00
Dawn Butler
11.00
James Cleverly
11.00
Boris Johnson
15.00
Nigel Farage
15.00
Rosena Allin-Khan
15.00
Zia Yusuf
15.00
Georgia Gould
17.00
Sadiq Khan
2.50
Laila Cunningham
9.00
Dawn Butler
11.00
James Cleverly
11.00
Boris Johnson
15.00
Nigel Farage
15.00
Rosena Allin-Khan
15.00
Zia Yusuf
15.00
Georgia Gould
17.00
Ant Middleton
21.00
Robert Jenrick
21.00
Stella Creasy
21.00
Florence Eshalomi
26.00
Jeremy Corbyn
26.00
Mete Coban
26.00
Paul Scully
26.00
Penny Mordaunt
26.00
Thomas Skinner
26.00
Deborah Meaden
34.00
George Galloway
34.00
Idris Elba
34.00
Rob Blackie
34.00
Susan Hall
34.00
Ross Kemp
41.00
Andrew Boff
51.00
Eddie Izzard
51.00
Jeremy Clarkson
51.00
Stewart
51.00
Shaun Bailey
51.00
Goldsmith
51.00
Zoe Garbett
51.00
Andrew Rosindell
67.00
Piers Morgan
67.00
Brian Rose
101.00
Laurence Fox
101.00
Cameron Smith
201.00
Charlie Mullins
201.00
Count Binface
201.00
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Next UK Prime Minister
Nigel Farage
3.25
Angela Rayner
19.00
Wes Streeting
7.00
Yvette Cooper
9.00
Kemi Badenoch
11.00
Robert Jenrick
10.00
Rupert Lowe
15.00
Boris Johnson
19.00
James Cleverly
26.00
Nigel Farage
3.25
Angela Rayner
19.00
Wes Streeting
7.00
Yvette Cooper
9.00
Kemi Badenoch
11.00
Robert Jenrick
10.00
Rupert Lowe
15.00
Boris Johnson
19.00
James Cleverly
26.00
Andy Burnham
17.00
Bridget Phillipson
34.00
Darren Jones
17.00
Rachel Reeves
34.00
Richard Tice
34.00
Ben Habib
51.00
Lisa Nandy
51.00
Suella Braverman
51.00
Jeremy Corbyn
67.00
Jeremy Hunt
67.00
Luke Pollard
67.00
Rishi Sunak
67.00
Tom Tugendhat
67.00
John Healey
34.00
Ed Miliband
34.00
Torsten Bell
34.00
Zack Polanski
201.00
Ed Davey
101.00
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General Election
Will any party win an overall majority?
Yes
1.91
No
1.83
Yes
1.91
No
1.83
Most seats?
Conservatives
7.00
Labour
2.80
Reform UK
1.91
Liberal Democrats
34.00
Greens
Conservatives
7.00
Labour
2.80
Reform UK
1.91
Liberal Democrats
34.00
Greens
Year of next general election?
2029 or later
1.80
2028
2.50
2027
11.00
2025
51.00
2026
13.00
2029 or later
1.80
2028
2.50
2027
11.00
2025
51.00
2026
13.00
Overall Majority
No overall Majority
1.83
Labour Majority
6.00
Reform UK Majority
3.00
Conservatives Majority
17.00
Liberal Democrats Majority
201.00
No overall Majority
1.83
Labour Majority
6.00
Reform UK Majority
3.00
Conservatives Majority
17.00
Liberal Democrats Majority
201.00
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